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Luo Zhiheng, Yuekai Securities: It is expected that the monetary policy will be further strengthened in 2025, or the RRR will be lowered or the interest rate will be reduced by 0.5 percentage points respectively. The Central Economic Work Conference will be held in Beijing from December 11 to 12. Luo Zhiheng, chief economist and dean of the research institute of Yuekai Securities, believes that overall, the tone of the meeting is more positive, and positive signals are released in terms of work objectives, policy tone and task deployment next year, which is conducive to strengthening and consolidating the momentum of sustained economic recovery next year. It is still a high probability that China's economy will achieve a growth rate of around 5% next year, as long as we implement greater fiscal and monetary policies, ensure that the policies work in the same direction, and promote a series of institutional reforms that restrict development. Luo Zhiheng predicts that in 2025, the monetary policy will be further strengthened, and the RRR and interest rate will be lowered by 0.5 percentage points respectively throughout the year; Rhythm or more advanced. In addition, the monetary policy toolbox will be further enriched and improved. On the one hand, it will adjust and optimize the policy tools such as refinancing of affordable housing, "convenient exchange of securities, funds and insurance companies" and stock repurchase and refinancing, which will be implemented and achieved practical results; On the other hand, we may appropriately narrow the width of the interest rate corridor and guide the money market interest rate to run smoothly around the policy interest rate center.Huatai Securities: The countercyclical adjustment is stronger than expected, and the expansion of domestic demand may fall on the policy of boosting consumption. Huatai Securities believes that the macro-policy orientation conveyed by the Central Economic Work Conference is more positive, in fiscal policy (expanding deficit, increasing special national debt, expanding the use scope of special debt, etc.), monetary policy (moderately easing, timely lowering the RRR and cutting interest rates), real estate and capital market (stabilizing the property market and stock market), and expanding domestic demand policy (implementing special actions to boost consumption) In terms of currency securities, Huatai Securities believes that there is still room for interest rate cuts. On the one hand, the current real interest rate level is still high in horizontal comparison; On the other hand, credit expansion, especially the balance sheet expansion of developers and local governments, is relatively weak, and the cost of capital has room for further decline. It is expected that the central bank will cut interest rates by 30-50 basis points next year, but the pace may be affected by external changes and exchange rates.Dividend assets are expected to become the main investment line next year, and the investment in dividend plate is heating up! Standard & Poor's dividend ETF(562060) rallied. On December 13th, by midday, the standard & poor's dividend ETF(562060) had dropped by 1.58%, with a turnover of 18,545,900 yuan. The constituent stocks are mixed, and in terms of rising, Sanqi Mutual Entertainment leads the rise; In terms of decline, Yongxing Materials led the decline. In the news, on December 12th, official website of China Securities Regulatory Commission published the latest personal pension investment list, and 85 index funds were included, including 7 bonus index funds. In addition, the recent performance of high dividend assets is strong, and the market's investment enthusiasm for the dividend sector continues to heat up. The industry believes that dividend assets are expected to become the main line of investment next year with the downward trend of interest rates and the improvement of dividend yield. In addition, considering that there are still many uncertainties in the current global environment, the defensive nature of dividend assets may still be a safe haven for capital seeking. Faced with the long-term trend that domestic risk-free interest rates will continue to decline, the scarcity and stability of dividend income are expected to help dividend assets continue to serve as an important direction for long-term funds to seek cost performance.

The Emir of Qatar and the Prime Minister of Canada discussed the situation in the Middle East by telephone, and the Emir of Qatar (head of state) Tamim telephoned the Prime Minister of Canada Trudeau on the evening of December 12, local time, focusing on the Syrian and Lebanese situations and the conflict in Gaza. (CCTV News)Xiangyang, Hubei Province: Ten years after retirement, the loan amount was raised to 800,000 yuan. According to the news of "Voice of Xiangyang" on WeChat WeChat official account, recently, seven departments, including the Housing and Urban Renewal Bureau of Xiangyang City, Hubei Province, jointly issued "Several Measures for Continuously Promoting the Stable and Healthy Development of the Real Estate Market in the Central City" to promote the stable and healthy development of the real estate market in our city. This measure will be implemented as of December 10, 2024. The notice stipulates that the support of housing provident fund should be increased, and the maximum loan amount of housing provident fund should be raised to 800,000 yuan; For new citizens, young people, teachers, medical staff, families with many children, high-level talents to buy new commercial housing and "trade-in" and other housing provident funds, the maximum loan amount can be increased by 20% on the basis of the maximum amount. For those who buy high-quality houses and prefabricated houses, they can rise by 10% on the above basis. Deposited employees have been paid in full for five consecutive years, and the loan period can be extended to 10 years after retirement, and the longest loan period shall not exceed 30 years. Flexible employees who have paid the housing provident fund in full for more than 6 months (inclusive) may apply for housing provident fund loans.Market News: mitsubishi electric is negotiating with Japanese domestic competitors to jointly produce power chips, and advocates an alliance in manufacturing key components that drive global equipment.

Hong Kong Securities Regulatory Commission: The quarterly loss from July to September narrowed sharply year-on-year, with a net inflow of 664.3 billion yuan from Hong Kong Stock Connect so far this year.The USD/JPY just broke through the 153.00 mark, and the latest price was 153.01, up 0.25% in the day.South Korea's South Gyeonggi Police Department was detained and searched. The South Korean police responsible for investigating the martial law storm said on the 13th that it was detaining and searching the South Gyeonggi Police Department. According to Yonhap News Agency and other media reports, the special investigation team of the National Investigation Headquarters under the South Korean Police Department sent investigators to the South Gyeonggi Police Department on the same day to detain and search the director's office and obtain computer and business information. The report said that after the martial law was announced on the evening of the 3rd, the southern police department of Gyeonggi deployed police to the building of the Central Election Management Committee in Guochuan City, Gyeonggi Province and the election training institute in Suwon City, Gyeonggi Province.